Executive Summary
This document presents W.D. Gann's mathematical and geometrical approach to forecasting grain markets, developed through 50 years of research. The system is founded on the principle that time is the most critical factor in market movements, with all price action governed by precise mathematical relationships and repeating cycles derived from the 360-degree circle.
Part I: Core Principles and Philosophy
The Foundation of Market Forecasting
W.D. Gann's forecasting methodology rests on three fundamental premises:
- Mathematics as the Only Exact Science: All market movements can be solved through mathematical calculations
- Time Supremacy: Time overrides both price (space) and volume in determining market movements
- Historical Repetition: The future is a repetition of the past, with markets moving in predictable cycles
The Geometric Framework
The system employs three primary geometric figures:
- The Circle: Master measurement tool using 360 degrees for both time and price
- The Square: Used for determining resistance levels and trend changes
- The Triangle: Applied in measuring price and time relationships
Part II: Technical Implementation
Chart Construction Requirements
Essential Specifications:
- Scale: 1/8 inch per cent per bushel
- Time continuity: No gaps for holidays or weekends on daily charts
- Angle precision: All angles must be drawn from exact highs and lows
The Angle System
The 45-Degree Angle (1×1)
- Definition: One unit of price per one unit of time
- Significance: The most important angle in the system
- Application:
- Market above 45° = Strong/Bullish position
- Market below 45° = Weak/Bearish position
- Breaking this angle signals probable trend change
Bullish Angles (Acute)
| Angle |
Designation |
Price/Time Ratio |
Degrees |
| 2×1 |
Strong Bull |
2¢ per time unit |
63.75° |
| 4×1 |
Very Strong |
4¢ per time unit |
75° |
| 8×1 |
Extreme Bull |
8¢ per time unit |
82.5° |
Support Angles (Obtuse)
| Angle |
Designation |
Price/Time Ratio |
Degrees |
| 1×2 |
First Support |
0.5¢ per time unit |
26.25° |
| 1×4 |
Second Support |
0.25¢ per time unit |
15° |
| 1×8 |
Major Support |
0.125¢ per time unit |
7.5° |
Squaring Time and Price
This technique, described as Gann's most valuable discovery, identifies major turning points when:
- Price movement (in points) equals time period (in days/weeks/months)
- Example: A 24¢ advance in 24 days creates a "square"
Three Methods of Squaring:
- Square the Range: Match the high-low price range with time
- Square the Bottom: Match the lowest price with time units
- Square the Top: Match the highest price with time units
Part III: Time Cycles
Great Time Cycles
These major cycles mark periods of extreme highs or lows:
| Cycle |
Years |
Geometric Basis |
Significance |
| 90-Year |
90 |
90° arc (Sunrise to Noon) |
Very important for long-term movements |
| 82-84 Year |
82-84 |
Natural cycle variation |
Major trend reversals |
| 60-Year |
60 |
1/6 of 360° circle |
Comparing long-term tops and bottoms |
| 49-50 Year |
49-50 |
225°-240° in second circle |
Critical for wheat extremes |
| 45-Year |
45 |
Most important angle |
Fundamental cycle period |
| 30-Year |
30 |
1/12 of 360° circle |
Half of 60-year cycle |
| 20-Year |
20 |
240 months (2/3 of 360°) |
One-third of 60-year cycle |
Minor Time Cycles
Shorter-term cycles for intermediate analysis:
| Cycle |
Years |
Key Application |
| 13-Year |
13 |
Intermediate trends |
| 10-11 Year |
10-11 |
135 months = 3/8 of 360° |
| 7-Year |
7 |
Very important (multiples: 14, 21, 28) |
| 5-Year |
5 |
Minor trend changes |
| 3-Year |
3 |
Short-term cycles |
| 2-Year |
2 |
Annual comparison |
| 1-Year |
1 |
Seasonal movements |
Intraday and Short-Term Rules
Monthly Time Rule
Significant changes occur at: 30, 60, 90, 120, 135, 180, 225, 270, 300, 315, and 360 days
Daily Time Rule
Minor changes occur at: 7, 10, 14, 20, 21, 28, and 30 days
Fast Move Rule
Rapid advances or declines often culminate in 49-52 days (7 weeks)
Part IV: Mathematical Laws
The Law of Twelve
Market movements obey the law of 12 and its multiples:
- Key periods: 12, 24, 36, 48, 60, 72, 144 months
- The square of 12 (144) holds special significance
The Rule of Three
"Everything moves in threes" - Critical observation points:
- Third day, week, and month for trend changes
- Market campaigns typically have three sections
- Third section often marks major culmination
The Number Seven
The seventh period is often "most fatal" for trends:
- 7th week (49th day) frequently marks rapid changes
- 7-year cycle from major tops/bottoms
- Multiples of 7 create harmonic time periods
Price Divisions
Market fluctuations based on eighths of the whole ($1):
| Fraction |
Cents |
Degrees |
Significance |
| 1/8 |
12.5¢ |
45° |
Minor support/resistance |
| 1/4 |
25¢ |
90° |
Cardinal point |
| 3/8 |
37.5¢ |
135° |
Fixed cross angle |
| 1/2 |
50¢ |
180° |
Major halfway point |
| 5/8 |
62.5¢ |
225° |
Fixed cross angle |
| 3/4 |
75¢ |
270° |
Cardinal point |
| 7/8 |
87.5¢ |
315° |
Fixed cross angle |
| 1 |
100¢ |
360° |
Full circle completion |
Part V: Practical Application
Market Structure Analysis
Markets typically move in distinct sections:
- First Section: Initial move from extreme
- Second Section: Correction and consolidation
- Third Section: Final drive (often strongest)
- Fourth Section: Exhaustion phase (if present)
Trend Determination Checklist
Bullish Indicators:
- Price maintains position above 45° angle
- Breaking above steeper angles (2×1, 4×1)
- Regaining lost angles from below
- Higher bottoms on angle charts
Bearish Indicators:
- Price falls below 45° angle
- Breaking support angles sequentially
- Lower tops formation
- Failure to regain broken angles
The Concept of "Lost Motion"
Borrowed from mechanics, this principle accounts for minor overshoots:
- Markets may exceed angles by 2-2.5 cents
- True breakout confirmation requires exceeding this margin
- Prevents false signals from minor penetrations
Part VI: Advanced Concepts
Cardinal and Fixed Crosses
Cardinal Cross
Formed by 90°, 180°, 270°, and 360° angles
- Represents major structural points in time and price
- Often coincides with significant market turns
Fixed Cross
Formed by 45°, 135°, 225°, and 315° angles
- Secondary but powerful measurement points
- Used for intermediate trend analysis
Seasonal Trends
"Nature's natural curve" for grains:
- August-January: Typical seasonal decline
- February-June: Seasonal advance period
- Reflects Earth's annual agricultural cycle
Integration of Multiple Timeframes
Hierarchy of Importance:
- Monthly chart angles (most significant)
- Weekly chart angles (major trends)
- Daily chart angles (short-term trading)
Conclusion
W.D. Gann's forecasting system represents a comprehensive mathematical approach to market analysis, integrating geometry, astronomy, and natural law. Success requires:
- Precise chart construction and angle measurement
- Understanding of cyclical time periods
- Recognition of mathematical relationships between time and price
- Patient observation of market structure and sections
- Disciplined application of trend determination rules
The system's power lies not in any single element but in the synthesis of all components working in harmony, reflecting what Gann described as the geometric perfection underlying all market movements.